Quick Recap, Golf Gambling and Sony

Your Hack hasn’t posted in about a week, but that doesn’t mean he’s not been playing. After our Wolf game back on January 8th – see Wolf Bait post – we had a fun five-some on Sunday. Dewey was back with the group after isolation over the holidays with the “Vid” and played along with the Senator, the Voice, Councilman and myself. The highlight of the day was the Councilman’s play which included an even par back nine for his first sub-80 round in a while. The Voice also posted an even par back nine and is “feeling it” for the upcoming trip to Casa de Campo. The Senator struggled, while I had my seemingly “normal” 78 or 79 with a couple of ugly doubles and three (3) straight bogeys to finish the round.

On Wednesday, we had six (6) players and were scheduled to go off behind some slower groups. Thinking we would have no problem keeping up and with the next tee time over 30 minutes after ours, we played the first nine as a six-some. We evidently thought correctly because we finished the front in a little less than 1 hour and 45 minutes, while waiting on the foursome in front of us for the last couple of holes. Unfortunately, it was not to be as we received a text from the pro on the 10th green that the group behind us had complained and we needed to split up into two threesomes. It turns out to have the served the group behind us right because both our threesomes were now backed up against the fourball in front of us and the “complainers” were forced to wait on every shot on the back nine. Serves them right.

For our Friday game we had eight (8) players matched in two four-balls playing 1 gross/1 net. Your Hack, Doc Martin, the Sheriff, and Ramrod played against Dewey, the Senator, the Councilman, and Boteler. It was our normal game and included skins (gross birdie or better). We blitzed around the course in a little less than 3 1/2 hours and our team blitzed the opponents shooting 7 under to their 1 over. We took all the money and your Hack posted 3 birdies in a row on holes #11 through #13 to take most of the skins. The Sheriff added a nice birdie on #15 which also cleared. The course is short these days – playing off temporary tees on all the par 3’s and the front tees on most of the par 4’s and a temporary green on #14. We played the course as a par 69 yesterday and I was able to come in a 3 over after losing a bad second shot on #14 and making double. The better news – only one (1) 3-putt green.

Most of you know that your Hack likes to gamble on the course, but I also enjoy wagering on professional golf. This week’s Sony Open is the first full field event of 2021 and I thought I’d outline my plays this week. I also play in a One and Done (OAD) season long event and my choice this week was Charles Howell III – Chuckie 3 Sticks. The Sony Open is like a personal ATM for this player and I like his chances for a high finish. In addition to the OAD, I like to bet outright winners and head to head match-ups.

Now, golf is a hard sport to bet so I don’t go overboard – it’s more about the fun than the profit margin when betting golf. Besides, it helps to have a few shekels on the line to help get through bland TV coverage. Although, I have to admit that there’s nothing better than prime time TV golf in Hawaii.

Because the field is relatively weak at the Sony, I’ve put small amounts on a lot of outright winners. I’ve also sprinkled a few Top 5, Top 10, and Top 20 bets. The wagers are smaller on the high odds. For example, $1 at +17500 wins $175. After two (2) rounds, I have some players in really good positions. Luckily only four (4) missed the cut.

  • Outright to Win
    • Webb Simpson +1100 (tied 2nd)
    • Ryan Palmer +3000
    • Kevin Kisner +3000
    • Sebastian Munoz +4500
    • Si Woo Kim +7500
    • Keegan Bradley +8000 (missed Cut)
    • Russell Know +9000 (missed Cut)
    • Patton Kizzire +6000
    • Talor Gooch +6000 (missed Cut)
    • Cameron Davis +11000
    • Tom Hoge +12500 (missed Cut)
    • Sepp Straka +12500
    • Stewart Cink +12500
    • Peter Malnati +17500 (tied 7th)
    • Wesley Bryan +25000
    • Tommy Armour +30000
  • Top 5
    • Munoz +1000
    • Bryan +5000
    • Niemann +450
  • Top 10
    • Howell +450
  • Top 20
    • Hoge +400 (Missed Cut)

Tournament head to head matchups are also a staple of my weekly betting card and I’m in good shape this week as Ancer, Knox and Bradley have all missed the cut, giving me at least three (3) winners out of the five (5) matches.

  • Tournament Match-ups
    • Palmer over Scott
    • Niemann over Matsuama
    • Kisner over Ancer
    • Kizzire over Knox
    • Si Woo Kim over Bradley

I’ll be back after Sunday nights final round and show you how I did with this week’s card. In the meantime, keep it in the short grass.

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