Gambling, Golf

The Arnold Palmer Invitational

Tournament Recap

This is about all I can say . . . . the Thick Boy wins by 1. They needed a bigger red cardigan! Fun fact: Bryson joins Tiger as the only players to have won a US Open, US Am, Memorial (Jack’s tournament) and Bay Hill (Arnie’s tournament). Nice company.

It was a tough week for your Hack at Bay Hill. 10.8 units lost on outright, Top 20 and first round leader bets only partially offset by 1.8 units won on match-ups bets. The 9 unit loss for the week brings be back to even (actually down 0.25 units) for the year. My best chances this weekend were Hovland and Spieth, but young Hov faded from 3rd to 49th over the weekend and Jordan just couldn’t come through on Sunday as his putting let him down in the final round.

A few friends have been asking me what the size of a unit is in my bankroll. Let me be clear that I bet on PGA Tour golf for fun, not for a living. My total bankroll for golf wagering was 100 units at the beginning of the year. It now stands at 99.75 and I typically bet between 15 and 20 units a week on tournaments. The size of a unit is not really important to disclose just rest assured that your Hack is not going to need to beg, borrow, or steal any money from his friends to cover this disgusting habit.

So, it’s on to the Players Championship this week. After two (2) lowing weeks in a row, a comeback is in the cards.


Round 4 Plays

Two (2) adds this morning early. Casey (-115) over Fitzpatrick and D. Lee (-105) over Todd). Come on Spieth and Hovland, let’s win this thing.


Round 3 Plays

A sweep yesterday as both Casey and Willy Z. came through in their Friday Matches for a smooth 2.1 unit win. Zalatoris also won the tournament matchup against Billy Ho who missed the cut. I’m sticking with Zalatoris (-115) over Fleetwood today and adding Rory (-120) over Hovland and Laird (+115) over Conners. 1 unit on each match.

Your Hack is ready for a weekend sweat with four (4) outrights in the Top 7 after Friday – Hovland (T3), Im (T7), Spieth (T7) and Casey (T7). Also, Werenski (T11) and Fitpatrick (T11) are both within 5 shots of the lead. Of course, Rory is putting like crazy and that’s kind of scary, but I think one of my boys can take down Conners and Laird over the weekend. LFG!

This looked familiar to me and then I remembered that the Senator faced the same situation recently in Florida in a match against the Voice. Small world.

The Senator’s Ball on a Recent Florida Golf Trip

Round 2 Plays

Rory and Corey tied at the top with the Big Bruiser just one shot back. No, he didn’t try to drive the green on the par 5 6th hole, but still might this week. Oosty withdrew about three (3) seconds before the tournament began so it’s a “No Bet” for my outright pick and the tournament matchup versus Jordan. With those bets refunded, I’m adding three (3) more outrights – Casey @ +2500, Werenski @ +25000 and Hubbard @ +30000. Two (2) really long shots at just 0.10 units each and a more conservative bet using 0.50 units.

Your Hack split his Thursday matches with Jordan beating Justin but Reed losing to Hovland. We are coming back today with 2 units on Casey (-135) over Na and 1 unit on Zalatoris (-135) over Jones.

Before I go . . . Is this the coolest man ever?


The API at Bay Hill starts today and here’s my betting card. Before we start, have a look at some very cool technology featuring my boy, Max Homa.

Arnie’s place – Bay Hill – is always one of the toughest courses on the tour rotation and when the wind blows (as expected) there could be carnage. See last year when Hatton won at only 4 under. I’m gonna take a pice of Lord Tyrrell at +1600 to repeat. I’m going a little heavier on outright bets this week with a mix of “Studs & Duds” this week.

OutrightsUnitsOdds
Hovland0.851200
Hatton0.651600
Im0.502000
Fitzpatrick0.502200
Spieth0.502800
Day0.453000
Oosthuizen0.353000
Zalatoris0.404000
Davis0.206500
Tringale0.206500
Fowler0.207000
Kisner0.208000
Hoffman0.159000
Jones0.1511000
Top 10UnitsOdds
List1.00900
Molinari1.00270
Tournament MatchupsUnitsOdds
Hovland > DeChambeau1.00-115
Day > Matsuyama1.00-120
Spieth > Oosthuizen1.00130
Zalatoris > Horschel1.00100
First Round LeaderUnitsOdds
Spieth0.254000
Kokrak0.254500
Zalatoris0.205000
Davis0.206000
Gooch0.206600
Jones0.158000
NeSemith0.159000
Stanley0.1010000
Mitchell0.1010000
ThursdayUnitsOdds
Reed > Hovland1.00-105
Spieth > Rose1.00-115

Weather looks nice again today at Cripple Creek and your Hack is heading out to play a friendly round. Then, it’s back to watch the first round of the API unfold. Good luck everyone.